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Understanding clonal Strategies in complex ecological systems:
from individual plant behavior to multispecies interactions through a Virtual reconstitution of a Prairie (ViP project)

Cendrine Mony (*), Marc Garbey (**), Malek Smaoui (**) and Marie-Lise Benot (*)

 (*) UMR CNRS 6553 ECOBIO, University of Rennes1, France
(**) Department of Computer Science, University of Houston, USA

vipThe goal of this project is to study the fundamental mechanisms involved in the dynamic of a prairie in response to disturbance (recurrent mowing, grazing…). Such model has several applications such as the design of prairies with high agronomical values or the preservation of ecological systems with high biodiversity. New insights are also developed recently on new ecological uses of such systems (see for instance the recent study sponsored by NSF “Mixed Prairie Grasses are better source of biofuel than corn ethanol and soybean biodiesel”, http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=108206).

       

Through the ViP project, the effects of management practices on plant competition and genetic structure of the prairie will be forecast.


vipIn our project, experimental data from both statistical measurements in prairie and controlled experiments on individual clonal plant growth under various environmental conditions provide the basis for modeling. An individual agent based model simulates individual plants as a growing network of ramets (i.e. new clonal individuals) and connexions (structures linking the ramets and promoting plant propagation in space).



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Phase one of the project is to study and classify the behavior of individual clonal plants and their strategy to survive in challenging environments: clonal traits and their plasticity are at the core of this question. The main target is the identification of the objective function that corresponds to the optimal growing strategy. 

Phase two of the project is to study the dynamic of clonal species mixtures in prairies. Rules linked with plant interaction will be added.

Both phases are analyzed by an in silico multiscale model of the prairie validated by experiments; phase one is achieved through the construction of an agent-based model of individual plants and the extraction of a family of rules from a set of controlled experiments. The parameter space is very large and evolutionary programming is a natural match for this ecological study. In the second phase, the dynamic interaction with thousands of individual needs to be simulated to observe potential emerging properties from this complex ecological system.


Both phases require very large scale simulations with embarrassing parallelism that can be friendly achieved with BOINC.

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A coarse approximation of the parameter space requires of the order of 1000 000 simulations which should take 10 years on a single PC. The study of one evolutionary path should take of the order of a year at least on a single PC (phase1). There are indeed dozens of paths involved in evolutionary dynamics. The complexity of the simulation is about two orders of magnitude higher for a prairie (phase 2). A run that can take advantage of the idle time on 10000 PCs during a month should bring new results in the ecology of a prairie that has never been accessible in the past.